Dylan Larkin vs Frederick Gaudreau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Gaudreau 43.9% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 91.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 53.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 83.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Larkin
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Larkin
Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Gaudreau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Larkin
Gaudreau
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Gaudreau
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
44.9% (414)
+6.2%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
31.8% (22)
+27.6%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
38.0% (129)
+10.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +27.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Larkin is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Larkin shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Larkin
Gaudreau
Home
51.7% (686)
42.6% (277)
Away
53.0% (658)
43.1% (288)
By Period
Larkin
Gaudreau
P1
52.5%
44.1%
P2
52.7%
44.7%
P3
51.4%
39.5%
OT
61.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Gaudreau
40.0%▼
42.5%
42.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 2 | 18:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 1 | 14:38 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |