Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.9%). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Lundeström shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Lundeström 52.0% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 60.2%
Defensive zone
Lundeström 53.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 55.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Larkin
Lundeström
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Larkin
Lundeström
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Lundeström
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Lundeström
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
53.3% (214)
-2.2%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
50.0% (4)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
50.0% (26)
-1.8%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lundeström shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Lundeström is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (151).
Home / Away
Larkin
Lundeström
Home
51.7% (686)
49.6% (139)
Away
53.0% (658)
57.1% (105)
By Period
Larkin
Lundeström
P1
52.5%
53.8%
P2
52.7%
53.5%
P3
51.4%
51.9%
OT
61.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Lundeström
48.0%▼
52.5%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |