Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Compher 47.8% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 32-10 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 93.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 75.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 84.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Larkin
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
10
(42 meetings)
32
10
Larkin
Compher
Last 10: Larkin 9-1 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
15
3
Larkin
Compher
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
11
6
Larkin
Compher
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
6
1
Larkin
Compher
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
48.6% (5,743)
+3.0%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
52.6% (682)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
41.9% (1,426)
+8.3%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,444).
Larkin shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,651).
Home / Away
Larkin
Compher
Home
53.9% (6,277)
49.0% (3,917)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
46.6% (3,934)
By Period
Larkin
Compher
P1
52.7%
49.0%
P2
53.1%
47.2%
P3
52.0%
47.4%
OT
58.4%
40.2%
Final 5 min
53.2%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Compher
50.0%▼
52.0%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 04:20 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 03:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 02:35 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 03:21 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 17:52 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 04:57 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:36 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 3 | 03:32 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 17:52 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 2 | 10:06 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 16, 2023 | 1 | 11:13 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 3 | 09:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 23, 2022 | 1 | 18:20 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 10, 2021 | 2 | 10:34 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 3 | 17:47 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 2, 2020 | 3 | 17:22 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |