Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Miller 60.3% (-9.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 75.6%
Defensive zone
Miller 59.4%
Neutral zone
Miller 65.6%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 66.7%
33.3%
66.7%
Larkin
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
7
(15 meetings)
8
7
Larkin
Miller
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
4
Larkin
Miller
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
2
Larkin
Miller
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Miller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
62.0% (582)
-10.9%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
65.9% (126)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
50.7% (71)
-2.5%
On even strength, Miller has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Miller is 62.3% vs left-shot opponents (485).
Home / Away
Larkin
Miller
Home
51.7% (686)
63.0% (416)
Away
53.0% (658)
60.1% (363)
By Period
Larkin
Miller
P1
52.5%
60.7%
P2
52.7%
63.9%
P3
51.4%
60.2%
OT
61.3%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
64.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Miller
70.0%▲
64.0%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:46 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 19:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 10:12 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 05:45 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 3 | 05:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 2 | 15:19 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 19:36 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 16:08 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 07:54 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 7, 2025 | 1 | 06:46 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |