Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +16.2% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hughes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Hughes 39.5% (+16.2%)
Offensive zone
Larkin 51.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 75.8%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Larkin
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
36.7% (305)
+14.4%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
14.3% (7)
+45.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
33.3% (6)
+14.9%
On power play, Larkin has a +45.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hughes
Home
51.7% (686)
35.8% (159)
Away
53.0% (658)
36.5% (159)
By Period
Larkin
Hughes
P1
52.5%
42.3%
P2
52.7%
28.2%
P3
51.4%
37.2%
Final 5 min
55.7%
27.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%