Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (62% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Roslovic 45.1% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 23-19 in 42 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 55.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 78.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 71.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 69.2%
69.2%
30.8%
Larkin
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
19
(42 meetings)
23
19
Larkin
Roslovic
Last 10: Larkin 7-3 Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
6
7
Larkin
Roslovic
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
9
7
Larkin
Roslovic
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
8
5
Larkin
Roslovic
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
45.0% (3,012)
+6.6%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
48.4% (341)
+10.2%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
34.3% (105)
+15.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,444).
Larkin shoots left. Roslovic is 45.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,387).
Home / Away
Larkin
Roslovic
Home
53.9% (6,277)
44.0% (1,739)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
46.0% (1,719)
By Period
Larkin
Roslovic
P1
52.7%
45.5%
P2
53.1%
44.9%
P3
52.0%
44.8%
OT
58.4%
31.8%
Final 5 min
53.2%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Roslovic
58.0%▲
52.5%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 14:32 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:26 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 11:20 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 1 | 04:16 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:58 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 4, 2025 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 06:59 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 1 | 11:17 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 3 | 15:56 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 19:09 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 2 | 14:31 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:50 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 15:30 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Jan 14, 2023 | 1 | 00:43 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Dec 4, 2022 | 3 | 04:48 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 15:35 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Apr 9, 2022 | 3 | 10:25 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |