Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Benn 49.7% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 66.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 63.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 57.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 63.7%
63.7%
36.3%
Larkin
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Larkin
Benn
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
0
1
Larkin
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
46.3% (67)
+4.8%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
61.1% (18)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
50.0% (2)
-1.8%
On even strength, Larkin has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Benn is 56.5% vs left-shot opponents (46).
Home / Away
Larkin
Benn
Home
51.7% (686)
48.8% (41)
Away
53.0% (658)
50.0% (46)
By Period
Larkin
Benn
P1
52.5%
34.6%
P2
52.7%
66.7%
P3
51.4%
45.2%
Final 5 min
55.7%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Benn
46.0%▼
52.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 08:58 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |