Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Dickinson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Dickinson 49.7% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 80.1%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 62.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 69.7%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 62.6%
62.6%
37.4%
Larkin
Dickinson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Larkin
Dickinson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Dickinson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Dickinson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Dickinson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Dickinson
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
51.9% (670)
-0.8%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
66.7% (9)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
39.1% (156)
+9.1%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dickinson shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (564).
Home / Away
Larkin
Dickinson
Home
51.7% (686)
48.7% (431)
Away
53.0% (658)
50.7% (404)
By Period
Larkin
Dickinson
P1
52.5%
43.4%
P2
52.7%
54.9%
P3
51.4%
49.6%
OT
61.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.7%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Dickinson
54.0%▲
50.5%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 07:30 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 07:44 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 00:55 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |