Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.8%). Look for McClement on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — McClement shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs McClement 52.7% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 70.5%
Defensive zone
McClement 68.0%
Neutral zone
McClement 55.2%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Larkin
McClement
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Larkin
McClement
Last 5: Larkin 0-5 McClement
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McClement
0
3
Larkin
McClement
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McClement
0
1
Larkin
McClement
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McClement
0
1
Larkin
McClement
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
McClement
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
54.4% (4,305)
-2.8%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
62.5% (104)
-3.9%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
47.2% (1,440)
+3.0%
On power play, McClement has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McClement shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Larkin shoots left. McClement is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,802).
Home / Away
Larkin
McClement
Home
53.9% (6,277)
55.4% (2,788)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
50.4% (3,083)
By Period
Larkin
McClement
P1
52.7%
53.5%
P2
53.1%
52.0%
P3
52.0%
53.2%
OT
58.4%
47.9%
Final 5 min
53.2%
52.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
McClement
48.0%▲
46.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2015 | 2 | 01:14 | Defensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 27, 2015 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 3 | 02:55 | Offensive | Jay McClement |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 15:14 | Neutral | Jay McClement |
| Oct 16, 2015 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Jay McClement |