Dylan Larkin vs Jeff Carter

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 53.2%). Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 15 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Larkin 52.7% vs Carter 53.2% (-0.5%)
H2H factor Carter leads 25-23 in 48 meetings
Offensive zone Larkin 55.6%
Defensive zone Carter 51.4%
Neutral zone Larkin 50.3%
Result Dylan Larkin favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Larkin Carter
Head-to-Head Record
23 - 25 (48 meetings)
23
25
Larkin Carter
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Carter

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
11
4
Larkin Carter
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
7
14
Larkin Carter
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carter
5
7
Larkin Carter
12 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Larkin
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
53.3% (8,728)
-1.7%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
57.3% (1,554)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
46.3% (1,087)
+3.9%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +3.9% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Carter shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,444).
Larkin shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Larkin
Carter
Home
53.9% (6,277)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Larkin
Carter
P1
52.7%
53.6%
P2
53.1%
52.8%
P3
52.0%
53.1%
OT
58.4%
56.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
53.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%
50.5%
52.7%
Carter
62.0%
61.5%
53.2%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Apr 11, 2024 3 05:26 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Apr 11, 2024 2 14:04 Defensive Jeff Carter
Apr 11, 2024 2 13:02 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Apr 11, 2024 2 06:45 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Apr 11, 2024 1 10:22 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Oct 18, 2023 3 07:17 Defensive Jeff Carter
Apr 8, 2023 3 13:40 Defensive Jeff Carter
Apr 8, 2023 3 05:06 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Apr 8, 2023 3 04:34 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Apr 8, 2023 1 17:46 Defensive Jeff Carter
Apr 8, 2023 1 09:25 Neutral Jeff Carter
Mar 28, 2023 3 08:32 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Mar 28, 2023 2 08:30 Offensive Jeff Carter
Mar 27, 2022 2 11:16 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Mar 27, 2022 2 05:57 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Mar 27, 2022 2 02:46 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Mar 27, 2022 1 03:05 Defensive Jeff Carter
Jan 28, 2022 OT 03:55 Defensive Jeff Carter
Jan 28, 2022 3 18:19 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Jan 28, 2022 3 14:58 Neutral Jeff Carter