Dylan Larkin vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (+4.5%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 65.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 57.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.6%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 51.6%
48.4%
51.6%
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
47.3% (207)
+3.8%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
100.0% (3)
-40.6%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
33.3% (3)
+14.9%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +40.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
Home
51.7% (686)
46.5% (129)
Away
53.0% (658)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Larkin
Kotkaniemi
P1
52.5%
51.3%
P2
52.7%
46.1%
P3
51.4%
45.9%
Final 5 min
55.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%