Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Ek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Ek 49.2% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 55.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 56.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 58.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 57.4%
57.4%
42.6%
Larkin
Ek
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Larkin
Ek
Last 10: Larkin 8-2 Ek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Ek
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
2
Larkin
Ek
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
1
Larkin
Ek
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Ek
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
48.1% (858)
+3.0%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
53.3% (272)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
47.9% (188)
+0.3%
On power play, Larkin has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ek shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Ek is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (901).
Home / Away
Larkin
Ek
Home
51.7% (686)
49.9% (693)
Away
53.0% (658)
48.3% (625)
By Period
Larkin
Ek
P1
52.5%
47.4%
P2
52.7%
53.1%
P3
51.4%
46.3%
OT
61.3%
54.9%
Final 5 min
55.7%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Ek
60.0%▲
52.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 06:11 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 3 | 00:37 | Neutral | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 15:59 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 08:02 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 13:49 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 06:54 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 06:43 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 04:01 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 03:11 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2026 | 1 | 02:53 | Defensive | Joel Eriksson Ek |