Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Martinook shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Martinook 47.9% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 63.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 70.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 67.9%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 66.1%
66.1%
33.9%
Larkin
Martinook
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Larkin
Martinook
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Martinook
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Martinook
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Martinook
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
48.2% (56)
+2.9%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
100.0% (1)
-40.6%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
20.0% (10)
+28.2%
On power play, Martinook has a +40.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Martinook shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Martinook is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (44).
Home / Away
Larkin
Martinook
Home
51.7% (686)
47.1% (34)
Away
53.0% (658)
42.4% (33)
By Period
Larkin
Martinook
P1
52.5%
33.3%
P2
52.7%
65.0%
P3
51.4%
43.8%
OT
61.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Martinook
42.0%▼
45.0%
44.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 1 | 08:26 | Offensive | Jordan Martinook |
| Jan 12, 2026 | 1 | 00:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |