Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.7% vs 52.7%). Look for Larkin on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Weal 52.4% (+0.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weal 53.3%
Defensive zone
Larkin 64.5%
Neutral zone
Weal 51.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Larkin
Weal
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Larkin
Weal
Last 8: Larkin 5-3 Weal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Larkin
Weal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Weal
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Weal
0
1
Larkin
Weal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Weal
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
51.8% (867)
-0.2%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
59.7% (129)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
37.5% (8)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weal shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,444).
Larkin shoots left. Weal is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Larkin
Weal
Home
53.9% (6,277)
53.2% (455)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
52.3% (549)
By Period
Larkin
Weal
P1
52.7%
56.6%
P2
53.1%
50.7%
P3
52.0%
51.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2020 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 18, 2020 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 19:34 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 05:53 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 19:37 | Neutral | Jordan Weal |
| Jan 23, 2018 | 1 | 05:37 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |