Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Khaira shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Khaira 46.7% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 88.9%
Defensive zone
Larkin 58.9%
Neutral zone
Larkin 72.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Larkin
Khaira
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Larkin
Khaira
Last 9: Larkin 6-3 Khaira
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Khaira
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Khaira
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
2
Larkin
Khaira
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Khaira
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
47.8% (1,154)
+3.8%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
47.9% (48)
+10.7%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
38.0% (192)
+12.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Khaira shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Larkin shoots left. Khaira is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Home / Away
Larkin
Khaira
Home
53.9% (6,277)
47.6% (668)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
45.5% (726)
By Period
Larkin
Khaira
P1
52.7%
48.5%
P2
53.1%
44.9%
P3
52.0%
46.1%
Final 5 min
53.2%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Khaira
48.0%▲
45.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Jujhar Khaira |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:06 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jujhar Khaira |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 2 | 02:53 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 8, 2023 | 1 | 15:51 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 18, 2019 | 2 | 09:40 | Neutral | Jujhar Khaira |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 3 | 05:27 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 22, 2019 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 3 | 16:02 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |