Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.3%). Look for Glendening on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Glendening 51.9% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 71.7%
Defensive zone
Glendening 64.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Larkin
Glendening
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Larkin
Glendening
Last 9: Larkin 4-5 Glendening
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
0
Larkin
Glendening
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Glendening
0
4
Larkin
Glendening
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Glendening
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Glendening
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
53.6% (420)
-2.5%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
100.0% (4)
-40.6%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
47.3% (148)
+0.9%
On power play, Glendening has a +40.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Glendening shoots right. Larkin is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Larkin shoots left. Glendening is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (413).
Home / Away
Larkin
Glendening
Home
51.7% (686)
48.0% (256)
Away
53.0% (658)
55.7% (316)
By Period
Larkin
Glendening
P1
52.5%
50.9%
P2
52.7%
51.7%
P3
51.4%
53.3%
OT
61.3%
83.3%
Final 5 min
55.7%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Glendening
56.0%▲
49.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:33 | Neutral | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 18:36 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 18:19 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 07:12 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 06:10 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 3 | 04:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 2 | 00:20 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Luke Glendening |
| Nov 24, 2025 | 1 | 04:01 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |