Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Coronato 42.2% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coronato 76.1%
Defensive zone
Larkin 77.7%
Neutral zone
Coronato 54.6%
Result
Matt Coronato favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Larkin
Coronato
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Larkin
Coronato
Last 5: Larkin 2-3 Coronato
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Coronato
0
2
Larkin
Coronato
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Coronato
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Coronato
0
1
Larkin
Coronato
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Coronato
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
38.2% (262)
+13.4%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
47.1% (70)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
0.0% (2)
+50.2%
On penalty kill, Larkin has a +50.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coronato shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,444).
Larkin shoots left. Coronato is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (290).
Home / Away
Larkin
Coronato
Home
53.9% (6,277)
39.8% (176)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
39.9% (158)
By Period
Larkin
Coronato
P1
52.7%
41.9%
P2
53.1%
37.6%
P3
52.0%
38.5%
OT
58.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Coronato
40.0%▲
38.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Matt Coronato |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:45 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Offensive | Matt Coronato |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:03 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |