Scouting Report
Michael McLeod holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs McLeod 58.0% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 21-13 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 62.4%
Defensive zone
McLeod 90.4%
Neutral zone
McLeod 79.1%
Result
Michael McLeod favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Larkin
McLeod
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
13
(34 meetings)
21
13
Larkin
McLeod
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 McLeod
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
10
0
Larkin
McLeod
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McLeod
7
9
Larkin
McLeod
16 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Larkin
McLeod
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
McLeod
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
59.2% (2,894)
-7.6%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
57.4% (101)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
53.5% (525)
-3.3%
On even strength, McLeod has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McLeod shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,444).
Larkin shoots left. McLeod is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,457).
Home / Away
Larkin
McLeod
Home
53.9% (6,277)
58.2% (1,647)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
58.4% (1,873)
By Period
Larkin
McLeod
P1
52.7%
58.7%
P2
53.1%
59.9%
P3
52.0%
56.3%
OT
58.4%
63.6%
Final 5 min
53.2%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
McLeod
56.0%▼
63.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 03:53 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 14:26 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 12:18 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 2 | 07:05 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 18:10 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 22, 2023 | 1 | 06:39 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 12, 2023 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 3 | 00:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2023 | 1 | 13:31 | Defensive | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:51 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 15:38 | Neutral | Michael McLeod |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 12:45 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 00:31 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 05:34 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 3 | 01:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |