Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rantanen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Rantanen 49.7% (+3.1%)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 62.6%
Defensive zone
Larkin 70.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 57.3%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 55.1%
55.1%
44.9%
Larkin
Rantanen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
48.9% (47)
+2.2%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
50.0% (22)
+9.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Rantanen is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
Larkin
Rantanen
Home
51.7% (686)
48.4% (31)
Away
53.0% (658)
50.0% (38)
By Period
Larkin
Rantanen
P1
52.5%
50.0%
P2
52.7%
30.0%
P3
51.4%
72.2%
OT
61.3%
42.9%
Final 5 min
55.7%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Rantanen
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%