Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Sundqvist 47.6% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 85.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 54.3%
Neutral zone
Larkin 73.1%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 70.7%
70.7%
29.3%
Larkin
Sundqvist
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Larkin
Sundqvist
Last 8: Larkin 5-3 Sundqvist
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Sundqvist
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Sundqvist
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Sundqvist
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Sundqvist
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
46.8% (301)
+4.3%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
80.0% (10)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
43.5% (85)
+4.7%
On power play, Sundqvist has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sundqvist shoots right. Larkin is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Larkin shoots left. Sundqvist is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Larkin
Sundqvist
Home
51.7% (686)
46.0% (189)
Away
53.0% (658)
47.8% (207)
By Period
Larkin
Sundqvist
P1
52.5%
44.7%
P2
52.7%
47.6%
P3
51.4%
48.6%
OT
61.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Sundqvist
44.0%▼
49.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:18 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 14:59 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 08:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 19:09 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 02:47 | Offensive | Oskar Sundqvist |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 07:43 | Neutral | Oskar Sundqvist |