Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +4.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Lindholm 48.8% (+4.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 87.6%
Defensive zone
Lindholm 53.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 60.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Larkin
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Larkin
Lindholm
Last 8: Larkin 5-3 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
4
0
Larkin
Lindholm
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
2
Larkin
Lindholm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Larkin
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
49.6% (510)
+2.0%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
50.0% (12)
+8.6%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
45.5% (178)
+4.7%
On power play, Larkin has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Larkin shoots left. Lindholm is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (453).
Home / Away
Larkin
Lindholm
Home
53.9% (6,277)
49.4% (346)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
47.7% (354)
By Period
Larkin
Lindholm
P1
52.7%
42.2%
P2
53.1%
51.0%
P3
52.0%
51.9%
Final 5 min
53.2%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Lindholm
42.0%▼
45.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2019 | 3 | 03:35 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 1, 2019 | 1 | 11:02 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 15:15 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 12:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2018 | 1 | 08:28 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Par Lindholm |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 3 | 11:19 | Neutral | Par Lindholm |
| Oct 11, 2018 | 2 | 19:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |