Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Krebs shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Krebs 45.4% (+8.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 50.8%
Defensive zone
Larkin 50.0%
Neutral zone
Larkin 50.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Larkin
Krebs
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Larkin
Krebs
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Krebs
0
1
Larkin
Krebs
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Krebs
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Krebs
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
44.4% (403)
+6.7%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
33.3% (6)
+26.1%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
45.0% (20)
+3.2%
On power play, Larkin has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Krebs shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Krebs is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Larkin
Krebs
Home
51.7% (686)
46.3% (205)
Away
53.0% (658)
42.4% (224)
By Period
Larkin
Krebs
P1
52.5%
47.0%
P2
52.7%
45.4%
P3
51.4%
40.7%
OT
61.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Krebs
48.0%▲
42.0%
44.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2026 | 3 | 17:00 | Offensive | Peyton Krebs |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 19:44 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |