Scouting Report
Phillip Danault holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Danault on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Danault shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Danault 54.5% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 56.7%
Defensive zone
Danault 63.7%
Neutral zone
Danault 51.3%
Result
Phillip Danault favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Larkin
Danault
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
6
(13 meetings)
7
6
Larkin
Danault
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Danault
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Danault
2
3
Larkin
Danault
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
0
Larkin
Danault
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Larkin
Danault
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Danault
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
56.2% (745)
-5.1%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
45.1% (51)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
51.6% (124)
-3.4%
On power play, Larkin has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Danault shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Danault is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Larkin
Danault
Home
51.7% (686)
56.7% (402)
Away
53.0% (658)
53.7% (518)
By Period
Larkin
Danault
P1
52.5%
55.5%
P2
52.7%
54.2%
P3
51.4%
55.2%
OT
61.3%
55.6%
Final 5 min
55.7%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Danault
50.0%▼
54.5%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 01:35 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 17:37 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 06:45 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 17:58 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:12 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 05:26 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Phillip Danault |