Scouting Report
Radek Faksa holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Faksa 53.2% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 74.4%
Defensive zone
Faksa 69.4%
Neutral zone
Larkin 53.6%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Larkin
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Larkin
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Faksa
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
1
Larkin
Faksa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
56.4% (289)
-5.3%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
0.0% (2)
+59.4%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
49.2% (126)
-1.0%
On power play, Larkin has a +59.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Faksa is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Larkin
Faksa
Home
51.7% (686)
54.9% (182)
Away
53.0% (658)
53.2% (235)
By Period
Larkin
Faksa
P1
52.5%
61.1%
P2
52.7%
51.3%
P3
51.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 14:41 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |