Scouting Report
Roope Hintz holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hintz on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Hintz shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Hintz 58.0% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hintz 50.7%
Defensive zone
Larkin 69.1%
Neutral zone
Larkin 61.8%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
Larkin
Hintz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Larkin
Hintz
Last 7: Larkin 3-4 Hintz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hintz
0
3
Larkin
Hintz
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
1
Larkin
Hintz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Hintz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Hintz
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
58.7% (530)
-7.6%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
59.4% (170)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
66.7% (27)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Hintz has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hintz shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Larkin shoots left. Hintz is 60.2% vs left-shot opponents (467).
Home / Away
Larkin
Hintz
Home
51.7% (686)
60.2% (354)
Away
53.0% (658)
58.2% (373)
By Period
Larkin
Hintz
P1
52.5%
58.4%
P2
52.7%
59.8%
P3
51.4%
58.2%
OT
61.3%
81.8%
Final 5 min
55.7%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Hintz
64.0%▲
61.0%
59.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 11:50 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 3 | 07:13 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 17:32 | Defensive | Roope Hintz |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 2 | 06:36 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 23, 2025 | 1 | 19:44 | Offensive | Roope Hintz |