Dylan Larkin vs Ryan Kesler

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Ryan Kesler holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Larkin 52.7% vs Kesler 55.9% (-3.3%)
H2H factor Kesler leads 11-6 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone Larkin 75.5%
Defensive zone Larkin 62.3%
Neutral zone Larkin 65.2%
Result Dylan Larkin favored at 69.4%
69.4%
30.6%
Larkin Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 11 (17 meetings)
6
11
Larkin Kesler
Last 10: Larkin 3-7 Kesler

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
5
Larkin Kesler
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
3
Larkin Kesler
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
3
Larkin Kesler
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Larkin
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
56.4% (8,095)
-4.8%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
60.7% (1,437)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
50.5% (1,908)
-0.3%
On even strength, Kesler has a +4.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,444).
Larkin shoots left. Kesler is 56.1% vs left-shot opponents (7,986).
Home / Away
Larkin
Kesler
Home
53.9% (6,277)
57.2% (5,732)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
54.7% (5,751)
By Period
Larkin
Kesler
P1
52.7%
56.5%
P2
53.1%
55.9%
P3
52.0%
56.1%
OT
58.4%
46.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
56.9%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%
50.5%
52.7%
Kesler
50.0%
54.5%
56.0%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 15, 2019 1 13:49 Offensive Ryan Kesler
Jan 15, 2019 1 11:00 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Mar 16, 2018 3 19:31 Defensive Ryan Kesler
Mar 16, 2018 3 14:04 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Mar 16, 2018 3 08:58 Defensive Ryan Kesler
Mar 16, 2018 3 04:25 Neutral Ryan Kesler
Mar 16, 2018 2 19:00 Neutral Ryan Kesler
Mar 16, 2018 2 16:42 Neutral Ryan Kesler
Mar 16, 2018 2 14:08 Offensive Ryan Kesler
Mar 16, 2018 2 05:02 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Mar 16, 2018 1 14:17 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Feb 13, 2018 3 03:23 Offensive Ryan Kesler
Feb 13, 2018 2 16:45 Offensive Ryan Kesler
Feb 13, 2018 1 16:08 Defensive Ryan Kesler
Feb 13, 2018 1 15:57 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Jan 4, 2017 2 18:25 Offensive Ryan Kesler
Jan 4, 2017 2 14:03 Offensive Dylan Larkin