Scouting Report
Dylan Larkin holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 15 meetings). Larkin wins 53.2% vs left-shot opponents — Blueger shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Blueger 50.0% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 17-10 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 91.1%
Defensive zone
Blueger 56.7%
Neutral zone
Larkin 64.0%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 74.5%
74.5%
25.5%
Larkin
Blueger
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
10
(27 meetings)
17
10
Larkin
Blueger
Last 10: Larkin 5-5 Blueger
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
14
1
Larkin
Blueger
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Blueger
0
6
Larkin
Blueger
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Larkin
Blueger
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Blueger
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
52.2% (3,582)
-0.6%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
50.6% (77)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
42.7% (1,103)
+7.5%
On power play, Larkin has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Blueger shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Larkin shoots left. Blueger is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (3,231).
Home / Away
Larkin
Blueger
Home
53.9% (6,277)
51.3% (2,426)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
48.5% (2,336)
By Period
Larkin
Blueger
P1
52.7%
49.2%
P2
53.1%
52.2%
P3
52.0%
48.6%
OT
58.4%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Blueger
48.0%▬
47.5%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2025 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 2 | 19:49 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 2, 2025 | 1 | 10:16 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 16:40 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 3 | 02:24 | Neutral | Teddy Blueger |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 04:33 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 06:31 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:07 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 15:24 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 04:36 | Offensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 15, 2024 | 1 | 04:54 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 06:43 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 10:25 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 2 | 10:22 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |
| Feb 16, 2020 | 1 | 17:01 | Defensive | Teddy Blueger |