Scouting Report
Travis Zajac holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Zajac on defensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 28 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.7% vs Zajac 54.2% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Zajac leads 33-23 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 78.5%
Defensive zone
Larkin 65.6%
Neutral zone
Larkin 66.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 69.0%
69.0%
31.0%
Larkin
Zajac
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
33
(56 meetings)
23
33
Larkin
Zajac
Last 10: Larkin 2-8 Zajac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
8
6
Larkin
Zajac
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zajac
8
20
Larkin
Zajac
28 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Larkin
Zajac
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Zajac
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
54.4% (9,056)
-2.8%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
59.1% (1,498)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
48.6% (1,599)
+1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zajac shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,444).
Larkin shoots left. Zajac is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,183).
Home / Away
Larkin
Zajac
Home
53.9% (6,277)
55.5% (6,156)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
53.0% (6,038)
By Period
Larkin
Zajac
P1
52.7%
53.8%
P2
53.1%
55.6%
P3
52.0%
53.6%
OT
58.4%
52.3%
Final 5 min
53.2%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Zajac
62.0%▲
52.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 09:06 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 00:33 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 14:36 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 11:35 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 08:37 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 05:44 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 00:08 | Offensive | Travis Zajac |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 11:18 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 16:17 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 13:50 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 12:14 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 1 | 05:42 | Defensive | Travis Zajac |