Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.4% vs 52.3%). Look for Dellandrea on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Larkin 52.2% vs Dellandrea 51.9% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Larkin 73.9%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 68.5%
Neutral zone
Larkin 55.2%
Result
Ty Dellandrea favored at 60.0%
40.0%
60.0%
Larkin
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Larkin
Dellandrea
Last 5: Larkin 2-3 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
1
0
Larkin
Dellandrea
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
1
3
Larkin
Dellandrea
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Larkin
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (915)
54.1% (355)
-3.0%
Power Play
59.4% (261)
53.8% (13)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (168)
47.6% (143)
+0.6%
On power play, Larkin has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Larkin is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (479).
Larkin shoots left. Dellandrea is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Larkin
Dellandrea
Home
51.7% (686)
54.3% (278)
Away
53.0% (658)
49.8% (233)
By Period
Larkin
Dellandrea
P1
52.5%
54.2%
P2
52.7%
50.6%
P3
51.4%
51.8%
OT
61.3%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 2 | 17:25 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 15:24 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Nov 2, 2025 | 1 | 02:57 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |