Dylan Larkin vs Wyatt Johnston

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Dylan Larkin holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Larkin 52.7% vs Johnston 49.0% (+3.8%)
H2H factor Johnston leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone Larkin 63.0%
Defensive zone Johnston 62.9%
Neutral zone Johnston 55.5%
Result Wyatt Johnston favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Larkin Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
11 - 12 (23 meetings)
11
12
Larkin Johnston
Last 10: Larkin 6-4 Johnston

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
5
2
Larkin Johnston
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
3
4
Larkin Johnston
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
3
6
Larkin Johnston
9 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Larkin
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (9,056)
49.1% (2,232)
+2.5%
Power Play
58.6% (2,140)
52.5% (179)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
50.2% (1,124)
44.7% (237)
+5.5%
On power play, Larkin has a +6.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Larkin is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,444).
Larkin shoots left. Johnston is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,999).
Home / Away
Larkin
Johnston
Home
53.9% (6,277)
49.2% (1,332)
Away
51.4% (6,043)
48.7% (1,316)
By Period
Larkin
Johnston
P1
52.7%
50.0%
P2
53.1%
48.1%
P3
52.0%
48.6%
OT
58.4%
51.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
48.6%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Larkin
48.0%
50.5%
52.7%
Johnston
40.0%
49.0%
48.9%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 23, 2025 3 19:45 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Dec 23, 2025 3 13:23 Defensive Wyatt Johnston
Dec 23, 2025 3 00:12 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Dec 23, 2025 2 08:37 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Dec 23, 2025 2 03:13 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Dec 23, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Jan 19, 2025 3 11:38 Neutral Wyatt Johnston
Jan 19, 2025 3 00:00 Neutral Wyatt Johnston
Jan 19, 2025 2 09:26 Defensive Dylan Larkin
Jan 19, 2025 2 02:26 Offensive Wyatt Johnston
Jan 19, 2025 2 00:00 Neutral Wyatt Johnston
Jan 19, 2025 1 14:18 Neutral Dylan Larkin
Jan 19, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Wyatt Johnston
Jan 23, 2024 3 19:21 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Jan 23, 2024 3 18:46 Neutral Wyatt Johnston
Jan 23, 2024 3 10:53 Offensive Dylan Larkin
Jan 23, 2024 2 00:53 Neutral Wyatt Johnston
Jan 23, 2024 1 12:00 Defensive Wyatt Johnston
Jan 23, 2024 1 03:59 Defensive Wyatt Johnston
Apr 10, 2023 3 15:41 Defensive Wyatt Johnston