Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Tkachuk wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Strome shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tkachuk 55.0% vs Strome 58.3% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tkachuk 50.7%
Defensive zone
Strome 78.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 65.7%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Tkachuk
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tkachuk
Strome
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tkachuk
1
0
Tkachuk
Strome
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tkachuk
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (153)
56.4% (890)
-1.5%
Power Play
59.4% (106)
66.9% (311)
-7.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
41.7% (12)
+58.3%
On penalty kill, Tkachuk has a +58.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots left. Tkachuk is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Tkachuk shoots left. Strome is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Home / Away
Tkachuk
Strome
Home
50.8% (128)
55.7% (627)
Away
62.9% (132)
62.5% (586)
By Period
Tkachuk
Strome
P1
56.6%
61.7%
P2
58.9%
55.7%
P3
56.2%
60.1%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tkachuk
54.0%▼
58.5%
56.9%
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
58.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 15:41 | Neutral | Brady Tkachuk |