Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Strome wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Guentzel shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.3% vs Guentzel 48.1% (+11.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 58.4%
Defensive zone
Guentzel 50.6%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 57.5%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 55.8%
44.2%
55.8%
Strome
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Strome
Guentzel
Last 7: Strome 3-4 Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Guentzel
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
2
Strome
Guentzel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Guentzel
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (890)
49.1% (230)
+7.3%
Power Play
66.9% (311)
44.9% (118)
+22.0%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
46.2% (26)
-4.5%
On power play, Strome has a +22.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Strome is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Strome shoots left. Guentzel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Strome
Guentzel
Home
55.7% (627)
50.2% (205)
Away
62.5% (586)
44.4% (169)
By Period
Strome
Guentzel
P1
61.7%
47.6%
P2
55.7%
49.0%
P3
60.1%
46.2%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
58.3%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
58.9%
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
47.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:12 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |