Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.7% vs Guentzel 46.7% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 84.6%
Defensive zone
Strome 92.9%
Neutral zone
Strome 86.3%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Strome
Guentzel
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Strome
Guentzel
Last 10: Strome 6-4 Guentzel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
5
1
Strome
Guentzel
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Guentzel
0
2
Strome
Guentzel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
4
1
Strome
Guentzel
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,371)
46.4% (715)
+3.7%
Power Play
58.6% (1,532)
46.6% (298)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
43.2% (44)
+2.4%
On power play, Strome has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. Strome is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (5,283).
Strome shoots left. Guentzel is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (656).
Home / Away
Strome
Guentzel
Home
51.1% (3,968)
48.9% (583)
Away
52.3% (4,003)
43.2% (474)
By Period
Strome
Guentzel
P1
50.5%
48.0%
P2
52.3%
45.5%
P3
52.3%
46.0%
OT
52.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
51.7%
Guentzel
54.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 06:30 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 01:12 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 2 | 00:06 | Offensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Jake Guentzel |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:49 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 09:00 | Neutral | Jake Guentzel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 14:22 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 1, 2025 | 3 | 08:22 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 16:34 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:11 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 15:13 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 26, 2024 | 2 | 14:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |