Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Carter on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.7% vs Carter 53.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Carter leads 19-16 in 35 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 81.4%
Defensive zone
Carter 72.3%
Neutral zone
Strome 50.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 51.5%
48.5%
51.5%
Strome
Carter
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
19
(35 meetings)
16
19
Strome
Carter
Last 10: Strome 5-5 Carter
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
10
1
Strome
Carter
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carter
3
15
Strome
Carter
18 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Strome
Carter
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,371)
53.3% (8,728)
-3.2%
Power Play
58.6% (1,532)
57.3% (1,554)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
46.3% (1,087)
-0.7%
On even strength, Carter has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Strome is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,688).
Strome shoots left. Carter is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,955).
Home / Away
Strome
Carter
Home
51.1% (3,968)
54.7% (5,752)
Away
52.3% (4,003)
51.6% (5,632)
By Period
Strome
Carter
P1
50.5%
53.6%
P2
52.3%
52.8%
P3
52.3%
53.1%
OT
52.7%
56.5%
Final 5 min
52.4%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
51.7%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 17:11 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 03:55 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 00:30 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 3 | 00:27 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 13:20 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Apr 4, 2024 | 2 | 05:50 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 7, 2024 | 1 | 13:08 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 04:09 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 2 | 04:00 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 25, 2023 | 1 | 02:02 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 3 | 05:42 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 19:23 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Jan 26, 2023 | 1 | 07:23 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 3 | 12:14 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Jeff Carter |
| Nov 9, 2022 | 2 | 12:30 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 18:26 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 9, 2021 | 1 | 18:15 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |