Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.3% vs Toews 60.4% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 64.1%
Defensive zone
Toews 59.3%
Neutral zone
Toews 52.8%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Strome
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Strome
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Strome
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Toews
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
Strome
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (890)
62.6% (728)
-6.2%
Power Play
66.9% (311)
59.4% (143)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
46.9% (32)
-5.2%
On power play, Strome has a +7.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Strome is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Strome shoots left. Toews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Strome
Toews
Home
55.7% (627)
61.1% (455)
Away
62.5% (586)
62.1% (448)
By Period
Strome
Toews
P1
61.7%
59.7%
P2
55.7%
66.7%
P3
60.1%
58.4%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
58.9%
Toews
62.0%▼
63.5%
61.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 16:18 | Defensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 05:25 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 10:31 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |