Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.7% vs 52.2%). Look for Norris on defensive-zone draws (93% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.7% vs Norris 52.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 20-16 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 75.6%
Defensive zone
Norris 69.4%
Neutral zone
Norris 53.8%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Strome
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
20
(36 meetings)
16
20
Strome
Norris
Last 10: Strome 5-5 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
10
1
Strome
Norris
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
13
Strome
Norris
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
5
6
Strome
Norris
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,371)
52.5% (3,089)
-2.4%
Power Play
58.6% (1,532)
53.4% (412)
+5.2%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
45.4% (240)
+0.2%
On power play, Strome has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Strome is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (5,283).
Strome shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,419).
Home / Away
Strome
Norris
Home
51.1% (3,968)
53.1% (1,896)
Away
52.3% (4,003)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Strome
Norris
P1
50.5%
55.5%
P2
52.3%
51.5%
P3
52.3%
50.1%
OT
52.7%
39.5%
Final 5 min
52.4%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
51.7%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 04:26 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 2 | 01:54 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 3, 2025 | OT | 01:26 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 10:05 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2025 | 1 | 01:41 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 30, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 18:22 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 13:50 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 13:46 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 3 | 11:03 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 09:39 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 09:36 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 2 | 00:39 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 30, 2025 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 15:01 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 16, 2025 | 3 | 08:25 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |