Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 53.4% vs Hayes 51.7% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 84.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 71.0%
Neutral zone
Hayes 52.5%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Strome
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Strome
Hayes
Last 6: Strome 3-3 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
3
Strome
Hayes
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
52.6% (968)
51.6% (386)
+1.0%
Power Play
56.9% (311)
53.2% (47)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
60.0% (20)
+2.5%
On power play, Strome has a +3.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Strome is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (938).
Strome shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Strome
Hayes
Home
53.4% (653)
50.5% (200)
Away
53.9% (634)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Strome
Hayes
P1
49.3%
58.8%
P2
54.6%
49.3%
P3
56.7%
48.0%
OT
62.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.9%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
70.0%▲
59.5%
53.7%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 18:27 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 19:42 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:42 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 04:21 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 19:43 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 09:40 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |