Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 55.0% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.3% vs Stenlund 54.2% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 71.3%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 92.1%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 76.4%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 71.7%
28.3%
71.7%
Strome
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Strome
Stenlund
Last 7: Strome 1-6 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Stenlund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
4
Strome
Stenlund
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
Strome
Stenlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (890)
56.2% (650)
+0.2%
Power Play
66.9% (311)
53.2% (47)
+13.7%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
51.6% (312)
-9.9%
On power play, Strome has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Strome is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (391).
Strome shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Home / Away
Strome
Stenlund
Home
55.7% (627)
56.9% (483)
Away
62.5% (586)
52.5% (526)
By Period
Strome
Stenlund
P1
61.7%
54.2%
P2
55.7%
53.2%
P3
60.1%
56.9%
OT
50.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
58.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
58.9%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 3 | 08:40 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 14:36 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 06:02 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 13:38 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 10:05 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |