Scouting Report
Mark Kastelic holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.7% vs Kastelic 56.5% (-5.1%)
H2H factor
Strome leads 13-11 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 90.0%
Defensive zone
Kastelic 88.9%
Neutral zone
Kastelic 57.2%
Result
Mark Kastelic favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Strome
Kastelic
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
11
(24 meetings)
13
11
Strome
Kastelic
Last 10: Strome 9-1 Kastelic
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
8
0
Strome
Kastelic
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kastelic
1
9
Strome
Kastelic
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
4
2
Strome
Kastelic
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Kastelic
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,371)
57.0% (1,635)
-6.9%
Power Play
58.6% (1,532)
80.0% (25)
-21.4%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
53.8% (279)
-8.2%
On power play, Kastelic has a +21.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kastelic shoots right. Strome is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,688).
Strome shoots left. Kastelic is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,445).
Home / Away
Strome
Kastelic
Home
51.1% (3,968)
58.7% (904)
Away
52.3% (4,003)
55.2% (1,035)
By Period
Strome
Kastelic
P1
50.5%
58.6%
P2
52.3%
56.5%
P3
52.3%
55.6%
OT
52.7%
53.8%
Final 5 min
52.4%
59.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
51.7%
Kastelic
56.0%▼
61.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 14:12 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 04:55 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 10:16 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:40 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 15:27 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 18:17 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 12:49 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 2 | 08:09 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 26, 2024 | 1 | 18:47 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 15:38 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 3 | 07:56 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:37 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 03:04 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:29 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 18:25 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 14:15 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 09:04 | Neutral | Mark Kastelic |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 06:39 | Defensive | Mark Kastelic |