Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.3% vs Duchene 51.8% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 74.8%
Defensive zone
Strome 55.2%
Neutral zone
Strome 70.2%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 68.2%
68.2%
31.8%
Strome
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Strome
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Strome
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (890)
51.1% (366)
+5.3%
Power Play
66.9% (311)
61.5% (65)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
16.7% (6)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Strome is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Strome shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Strome
Duchene
Home
55.7% (627)
51.7% (201)
Away
62.5% (586)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Strome
Duchene
P1
61.7%
49.0%
P2
55.7%
57.1%
P3
60.1%
49.2%
OT
50.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
58.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
58.9%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 19:06 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 7, 2026 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |