Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +12.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Barron on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Strome wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Barron shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.3% vs Barron 46.8% (+12.7%)
H2H factor
Barron leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 84.4%
Defensive zone
Barron 86.8%
Neutral zone
Barron 53.8%
Result
Morgan Barron favored at 62.2%
37.8%
62.2%
Strome
Barron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Strome
Barron
Last 10: Strome 5-5 Barron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
0
Strome
Barron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barron
1
5
Strome
Barron
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
1
0
Strome
Barron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Barron
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (890)
48.6% (381)
+7.8%
Power Play
66.9% (311)
33.3% (3)
+33.6%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
41.7% (187)
+0.0%
On power play, Strome has a +33.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barron shoots left. Strome is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Strome shoots left. Barron is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (396).
Home / Away
Strome
Barron
Home
55.7% (627)
44.4% (306)
Away
62.5% (586)
48.3% (265)
By Period
Strome
Barron
P1
61.7%
45.5%
P2
55.7%
49.8%
P3
60.1%
43.1%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
58.3%
44.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
58.9%
Barron
44.0%▲
41.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 16:06 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:54 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 10:10 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 09:59 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 07:12 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 06:50 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 06:20 | Defensive | Morgan Barron |