Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on defensive-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.7% vs Foligno 48.6% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 16-7 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 65.0%
Defensive zone
Foligno 86.3%
Neutral zone
Foligno 75.5%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 77.5%
22.5%
77.5%
Strome
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
16
(23 meetings)
7
16
Strome
Foligno
Last 10: Strome 4-6 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
3
Strome
Foligno
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
3
8
Strome
Foligno
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
5
Strome
Foligno
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,371)
48.3% (2,840)
+1.8%
Power Play
58.6% (1,532)
52.3% (731)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
44.0% (457)
+1.6%
On power play, Strome has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Strome is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (5,283).
Strome shoots left. Foligno is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,512).
Home / Away
Strome
Foligno
Home
51.1% (3,968)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
52.3% (4,003)
47.2% (2,017)
By Period
Strome
Foligno
P1
50.5%
47.8%
P2
52.3%
50.5%
P3
52.3%
48.2%
OT
52.7%
29.7%
Final 5 min
52.4%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
51.7%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2026 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 12:20 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:41 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 09:04 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 19:01 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 05:07 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 3 | 03:09 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 4, 2025 | 2 | 12:40 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 19:49 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 18:37 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 16:47 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 17, 2024 | 3 | 10:00 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 13:43 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 03:52 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 11, 2021 | 1 | 12:10 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 02:04 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 29, 2021 | 1 | 15:07 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 3 | 15:16 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Feb 16, 2019 | 2 | 05:30 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |