Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Strome wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Paul shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.3% vs Paul 53.6% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 70.6%
Defensive zone
Paul 74.8%
Neutral zone
Paul 54.7%
Result
Nick Paul favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Strome
Paul
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Strome
Paul
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Paul
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Paul
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Paul
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (890)
53.7% (354)
+2.7%
Power Play
66.9% (311)
59.0% (61)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
52.9% (34)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Paul has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Paul shoots left. Strome is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Strome shoots left. Paul is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Strome
Paul
Home
55.7% (627)
55.1% (216)
Away
62.5% (586)
53.6% (233)
By Period
Strome
Paul
P1
61.7%
54.9%
P2
55.7%
54.5%
P3
60.1%
54.3%
OT
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
58.3%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
58.9%
Paul
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Nick Paul |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 3 | 02:58 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 14:08 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Nick Paul |