Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +8.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cates on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.7% vs Cates 43.2% (+8.7%)
H2H factor
Cates leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 81.6%
Defensive zone
Cates 79.0%
Neutral zone
Cates 54.7%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Strome
Cates
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
16
(30 meetings)
14
16
Strome
Cates
Last 10: Strome 3-7 Cates
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
8
3
Strome
Cates
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cates
3
4
Strome
Cates
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cates
3
9
Strome
Cates
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Cates
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,371)
44.1% (2,786)
+6.0%
Power Play
58.6% (1,532)
42.9% (254)
+15.7%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
34.9% (373)
+10.7%
On power play, Strome has a +15.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Cates shoots left. Strome is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (5,283).
Strome shoots left. Cates is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,307).
Home / Away
Strome
Cates
Home
51.1% (3,968)
43.9% (1,708)
Away
52.3% (4,003)
42.2% (1,705)
By Period
Strome
Cates
P1
50.5%
44.5%
P2
52.3%
43.7%
P3
52.3%
41.2%
OT
52.7%
29.4%
Final 5 min
52.4%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
51.7%
Cates
50.0%▲
45.5%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 25, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 2 | 16:27 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 1 | 17:39 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:47 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 05:16 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:07 | Defensive | Noah Cates |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:58 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:23 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 19:17 | Offensive | Noah Cates |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 6, 2025 | 1 | 06:58 | Neutral | Noah Cates |
| Oct 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:04 | Neutral | Noah Cates |