Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 60.8% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 58.3% vs Zacha 51.8% (+6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 95.3%
Defensive zone
Strome 55.0%
Neutral zone
Strome 79.7%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
Strome
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Strome
Zacha
Last 8: Strome 6-2 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
3
1
Strome
Zacha
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Zacha
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
0
Strome
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (890)
53.0% (700)
+3.4%
Power Play
66.9% (311)
54.1% (109)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (12)
39.2% (74)
+2.5%
On power play, Strome has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Strome is 60.8% vs left-shot opponents (822).
Strome shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Strome
Zacha
Home
55.7% (627)
51.6% (438)
Away
62.5% (586)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Strome
Zacha
P1
61.7%
57.0%
P2
55.7%
48.9%
P3
60.1%
50.5%
OT
50.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
58.3%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
58.9%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 14:24 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 07:01 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 04:25 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 11:36 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 11:19 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 11:10 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 04:53 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 05:02 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |