Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.8% vs 53.1%). Look for Strome on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Strome wins 55.1% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 52.6% vs Johansen 52.8% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 82.8%
Defensive zone
Johansen 63.8%
Neutral zone
Strome 60.6%
Result
Dylan Strome favored at 65.6%
65.6%
34.4%
Strome
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Strome
Johansen
Last 8: Strome 5-3 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
4
0
Strome
Johansen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
2
Strome
Johansen
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Strome
Johansen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,002)
51.9% (597)
-1.3%
Power Play
59.9% (299)
57.9% (133)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
54.3% (81)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Strome has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Strome is 55.1% vs right-shot opponents (432).
Strome shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
Strome
Johansen
Home
51.9% (700)
55.8% (387)
Away
53.9% (620)
50.7% (424)
By Period
Strome
Johansen
P1
51.6%
50.0%
P2
53.0%
56.2%
P3
54.3%
52.6%
OT
44.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
70.0%▲
59.5%
52.8%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 3 | 08:03 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 15:31 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 07:48 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 07:41 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:38 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 18:09 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 13:40 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |