Scouting Report
Dylan Strome holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.7% vs Kuraly 50.4% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 30-30 in 60 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 86.2%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 83.3%
Neutral zone
Strome 50.9%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Strome
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
30
(60 meetings)
30
30
Strome
Kuraly
Last 10: Strome 3-7 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
18
0
Strome
Kuraly
18 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
4
23
Strome
Kuraly
27 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
8
7
Strome
Kuraly
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,371)
51.6% (5,161)
-1.5%
Power Play
58.6% (1,532)
56.4% (101)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
44.4% (1,091)
+1.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Strome is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (5,283).
Strome shoots left. Kuraly is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (4,119).
Home / Away
Strome
Kuraly
Home
51.1% (3,968)
52.1% (3,205)
Away
52.3% (4,003)
48.8% (3,149)
By Period
Strome
Kuraly
P1
50.5%
51.2%
P2
52.3%
50.0%
P3
52.3%
50.2%
OT
52.7%
52.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
51.7%
Kuraly
66.0%▲
61.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 16:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 3 | 14:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 2 | 04:38 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 15:40 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 17:54 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 16:57 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 2 | 01:17 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 7, 2026 | 1 | 07:49 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:34 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 19:02 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:44 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 3 | 04:39 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 18:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:39 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Oct 8, 2025 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | Dylan Strome |