Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.7% vs 51.1%). Look for Stamkos on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 14 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Strome 51.7% vs Stamkos 51.1% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Stamkos leads 19-7 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Strome 66.6%
Defensive zone
Stamkos 78.9%
Neutral zone
Stamkos 58.5%
Result
Steven Stamkos favored at 60.8%
39.2%
60.8%
Strome
Stamkos
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
19
(26 meetings)
7
19
Strome
Stamkos
Last 10: Strome 1-9 Stamkos
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
5
4
Strome
Stamkos
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stamkos
0
14
Strome
Stamkos
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Strome
2
1
Strome
Stamkos
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Strome
Stamkos
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (6,371)
50.5% (9,825)
-0.4%
Power Play
58.6% (1,532)
55.2% (1,729)
+3.4%
Penalty Kill
45.6% (68)
49.6% (827)
-4.0%
On penalty kill, Stamkos has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stamkos shoots right. Strome is 49.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,688).
Strome shoots left. Stamkos is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (8,806).
Home / Away
Strome
Stamkos
Home
51.1% (3,968)
52.8% (6,270)
Away
52.3% (4,003)
49.3% (6,137)
By Period
Strome
Stamkos
P1
50.5%
49.2%
P2
52.3%
52.7%
P3
52.3%
50.9%
OT
52.7%
54.3%
Final 5 min
52.4%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Strome
64.0%▲
56.5%
51.7%
Stamkos
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 12:10 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 09:24 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 14:40 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Strome |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 08:39 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 03:09 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 3 | 17:10 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 2 | 13:09 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 12:17 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 13, 2022 | 1 | 03:33 | Offensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Nov 11, 2022 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Apr 1, 2022 | 2 | 02:29 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 08:56 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 17:21 | Offensive | Dylan Strome |
| Mar 6, 2022 | 1 | 04:37 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 16:08 | Defensive | Steven Stamkos |