Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Luostarinen wins 44.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 46.5% vs Staal 54.6% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 63.7%
Defensive zone
Staal 57.2%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 52.1%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Luostarinen
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Luostarinen
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Luostarinen
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (92)
56.2% (989)
-10.5%
Power Play
45.0% (20)
66.0% (159)
-21.0%
Penalty Kill
28.6% (14)
42.7% (253)
-14.1%
On power play, Staal has a +21.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Luostarinen shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Staal
Home
44.4% (36)
55.4% (699)
Away
43.3% (90)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Luostarinen
Staal
P1
38.9%
55.7%
P2
44.7%
54.7%
P3
45.1%
53.4%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
46.0%▲
44.5%
43.7%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 16, 2026 | 3 | 04:08 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |