Eetu Luostarinen vs Kevin Hayes
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Luostarinen on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Luostarinen wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Luostarinen 44.2% vs Hayes 47.7% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Luostarinen 52.3%
Defensive zone
Luostarinen 52.8%
Neutral zone
Luostarinen 54.1%
Result
Eetu Luostarinen favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Luostarinen
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Luostarinen
Hayes
Last 9: Luostarinen 4-5 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
0
2
Luostarinen
Hayes
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Luostarinen
Hayes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
3
2
Luostarinen
Hayes
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Luostarinen
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
44.6% (1,784)
47.5% (6,708)
-2.9%
Power Play
43.5% (69)
51.7% (702)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (206)
45.3% (697)
-7.4%
On power play, Hayes has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,369).
Luostarinen shoots left. Hayes is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,132).
Home / Away
Luostarinen
Hayes
Home
44.8% (1,015)
48.1% (3,982)
Away
43.0% (1,044)
47.3% (4,125)
By Period
Luostarinen
Hayes
P1
43.0%
47.5%
P2
45.4%
47.6%
P3
43.2%
47.9%
OT
37.5%
54.1%
Final 5 min
44.6%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Luostarinen
46.0%▲
44.5%
43.9%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
47.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 15:02 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 1 | 08:09 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 18:53 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 14:51 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 1 | 18:11 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 11:26 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 11:16 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |